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Daily Market Report Page (04/28)

Weekly Market Summary Page (04/27)

Year End 2010 Summary Page (12/31/10)
Year End 2009 Summary Page (12/31/09)
Year End 2008 Summary Page (12/31/08)
Crash of 2008 Weekly Summary Page (10/13/08)

Click here for latest quotes for the week

Previous Week's Commentaries: Monday; Tuesday; Wednesday; Thursday; Friday


Current Links of Interest   

Victor Sperandeo/Curmudgeon: Reflections on Our Short Term, Gambling Culture (04/27)
Curmudgeon/Victor Sperandeo: Alice Rivlin: Audit the Budget Process, Not the Fed (04/27)
Pater Tenebrarum: Friday Never Happened – “Because of China”? (04/21)
Curmudgeon: IMF Warns of Market Blow Out With Liquidity Vanishing (04/20)
Victor Sperandeo/Curmudgeon: What Will Trigger the Next Collapse of Fixed Income and Stocks? (04/20)
Curmudgeon: In Search of Unicorns and One-Trick Ponies: Bubble In Private Tech Start-Ups (04/13)
Victor Sperandeo/Curmudgeon: Historical Bubble and Burst Pattern (04/13)
Victor Sperandeo/Curmudgeon: Analysis of a Disappointing Jobs Report; Where Do Jobs Come From? (04/06)
Michael Snyder: If Anyone Doubts That We Are In a Stock Market Bubble, Show Them This Article (04/03)
The Nation: Inside the ‘Mother Bubble’, Central Banks Are Still Pumping (04/03)
Curmudgeon/Victor Sperandeo: The Great Fed Robbery of “We the People” (03/30)
Alfonso Esparza: US Stock Market Drop Shows Fed Bubble Bursting (03/27)
Rob Williams: SocGen’s Edwards: Fed Rate Hike Will Be Too Late to Avert Disaster (03/24)
Victor Sperandeo/Curmudgeon: Double-Talk From the Fed and the Israel Elections (03/23)
John Riley: 30 Myths Investors Choose to Believe (03/18)
Victor Sperandeo/Curmudgeon: Trustworthy U.S. Government Needed For Real Economic Growth (03/16)
Alan Newman: Why the Stock Market Should Crash (03/12)
Charles Hugh Smith: Here’s How the Fed Blew It (03/11)
Curmudgeon/Victor Sperandeo: Iran Poses Huge Threat to World Stability and Markets/Revisting “Gold Has Bottomed” (03/09)
Victor Sperandeo/Curmudgeon: ISIS/IS and Islamic Fundamentalism Threaten Global Stability and the World Economy (03/02)
John Crudele: Here’s What Janet Yellen Should Have Told Congress (02/26)
EconMatters: Janet Yellen Encourages More Levered Risk Taking in Markets (02/25)
Curmudgeon/Victor Sperandeo: Ukraine/Greece Follow-up and Audit the Fed (02/23)
Bryan Post: HUI Index: Bull Pullback or Bear Rally (Part 1) (02/17)
Curmudgeon/Victor Sperandeo: Eurozone Growth, Greece and Ukraine Hopes Send Stock Markets to New Multi-Year Highs (02/16)
John Riley: Going to Extremes – Cycle Tops and Bottoms (02/11)
Victor Sperandeo/Curmudgeon: Global Debt: Growing, Growing, Gone? (02/09)
Dian Chu: The Bond Market Has Reached Tulip Bubble Proportions (02/03)
Victor Sperandeo/Curmudgeon: Hyperinflation Versus Deflation; Explanation For Low Interest Rates (02/02)
Victor Sperandeo/Curmudgeon: Europe and the New World Order; Gold Has Bottomed! (01/26)
David Theroux: C.S Lewis on Mere Liberty and the Evils of Statism [Video] (01/21)
Victor Sperandeo/Curmudgeon: Financial Markets Roiled as SNB Ends Three-Year-Old Cap Against Euro (01/20)
John Hussman: The Line Between Rational Speculation and Market Collapse (01/16)
Curmudgeon/Victor Sperandeo: High Valuations for IPOs and Private Tech Firms Imply This Time is Different (01/10)
Victor Sperandeo/Curmudgeon: 2014 Recap and a Look Ahead to 2015 (01/06)
Adam Hamilton: Has the Fed Abandoned the Stock Market? (01/05)
Comstock Partners: This is Why the Fed Is Between a Rock and a Hard Place (01/02)

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Dow Jones Industrials (04/24)
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red line - 50 DMA; green line - 200 DMA; pink line - NYSE adv/dec

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green line - Dow 21 DMA; red line - 50 DMA
 

NASDAQ Composite (04/24)
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red line - 50 DMA; green line - 200 DMA

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green line - 21 DMA; red line - 50 DMA

       S&P 500 (04/24)
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red line - 50 DMA; green line - 200 DMA; pink line - NYSE VIX

Notable Quote(s):
 

The Fed with its Keynesian vision believes it can hold off a correction forever. In the history of the stock market, that’s never been done.


Confidence and complacency are more acute now than any time I’ve seen before. All expressions of overvaluation are at historical extremes. Despite this, most money managers remain in the market. The thesis is “if it’s going up, regardless of anything else, I want to be in it.” Perhaps the best indicator of complacency is the VIX which at its current level of 13 tells us that investors see no reason to protect their positions. Every minor decline is seen as a buying opportunity. The rationale is that the Fed would not allow anything worse than a 10% decline. If the stock market starts sinking between now and October 1st, I will be most interested to see if the Fed eliminates QE.


Richard Russell, 90 year-old publisher of the Dow Theory since 1958.



Archives

The Magic Wand of Liquidity Page (04/27/15)
Fiend's Bear Encounters (1939-42, 1973-74, 1981-82) Page
DJIA, adv/dec, and momentum data from 1990 to 04/15/15
Market Top of 1968 Revisited
Business Week's The Death of Equities Revisited
Tj's Financial Cartoon Gallery
Miki's Portraits of Some Bulls of the Millennium


This page was last updated on April 28, 2015.

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