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* FIEND'S SUPERBEAR MARKET REPORT *

* January 2, 2024 *

* *

* e-mail: fiendbear@fiendbear.com *

* web address: http://www.fiendbear.com *

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Fiend Commentary

================

December -- Year Ends with Huge Bond and Small cap Rally

Index 12/29/23 Mn Chng Mnth % Yr Chng Year % 2K Chg* 2000 %

------ -------- ------- ------ ------- ------ -------- ------

Dow30 37689.54 1738.65 4.8% 4542.29 13.7% 26192.42 227.8%

Trans 15898.85 880.34 5.9% 2506.94 18.7% 12921.65 434.0%

Utils 881.67 14.91 1.7% -85.73 -8.9% 598.31 211.1%

S&P500 4769.83 202.03 4.4% 930.33 24.2% 3300.58 224.6%

Nasdaq 15011.35 785.13 5.5% 4544.87 43.4% 10942.04 268.9%

NYSE 16852.89 764.05 4.7% 1668.58 11.0% N/A N/A

Rus2000 2027.07 218.05 12.1% 265.82 15.1% 1522.32 301.6%

Amex 4594.32 -55.24 -1.2% 458.99 11.1% 3725.58 428.8%

Val Lne10018.16 838.70 9.1% 1488.13 17.4% 8992.36 876.6%

30Yr Tr 40.10 -5.00 11.1% 0.40 -1.0% -24.70 38.1%

Bnk Idx 96.02 11.09 13.1% -4.83 -4.8% 19.02 24.7%

MSH 35 4325.85 257.89 6.3% 1772.76 69.4% 3405.07 369.8%

Housing 658.46 85.99 15.0% 255.67 63.5% N/A N/A

Airline 67.71 12.28 22.2% 14.91 28.2% -85.76 -55.9%

Retail 5167.54 279.69 5.7% 1538.57 42.4% N/A N/A

* Change since 12/31/1999

 

Winners-Losers 24-6 19-11

Dow Industrials Dec-29 Mn Chg Mnth % Yr Chg Year %

--------------- ------ ------ ------ ------ ------

Walgreens 26.11 6.17 30.9% -11.25 -30.1%

Caterpillar 295.67 44.95 17.9% 56.11 23.4%

Goldman Sachs 385.77 44.23 13.0% 42.39 12.3%

Boeing 260.66 29.03 12.5% 70.17 36.8%

Intel 50.25 5.55 12.4% 23.82 90.1%

Home Depot 346.55 33.06 10.5% 30.69 9.7%

Minn Mining Mnf 109.32 10.25 10.3% -10.60 -8.8%

American Exprss 187.34 16.57 9.7% 39.59 26.8%

JP Morgan Chase 170.10 14.02 9.0% 36.00 26.8%

Honeywell 209.71 13.79 7.0% -4.59 -2.1%

Amgen 288.02 18.38 6.8% 25.38 9.7%

Merck 109.02 6.54 6.4% -1.93 -1.7%

Dow 54.84 3.09 6.0% 4.45 8.8%

Travelers 190.49 9.87 5.5% 3.00 1.6%

McDonald's 296.51 14.67 5.2% 32.98 12.5%

SalesForce.com 263.14 11.24 4.5% 130.55 98.5%

Cisco 50.52 2.14 4.4% 2.88 6.0%

Chevron-Texaco 149.16 5.56 3.9% -30.33 -16.9%

IBM 163.55 4.99 3.1% 22.66 16.1%

Visa 260.35 3.67 1.4% 52.59 25.3%

Apple 192.53 2.58 1.4% 62.60 48.2%

Johnson-Johnson 156.74 2.08 1.3% -19.91 -11.3%

Wal-Mart 157.65 1.96 1.3% 15.86 11.2%

Coca-Cola 58.93 0.49 0.8% -4.68 -7.4%

Microsoft 376.04 -2.87 -0.8% 136.22 56.8%

Nike 108.57 -1.70 -1.5% -8.44 -7.2%

Verizon Comm 37.70 -0.63 -1.6% -1.70 -4.3%

Disney 90.29 -2.40 -2.6% 3.41 3.9%

Procter-Gamble 146.54 -6.98 -4.5% -5.02 -3.3%

UnitedHealth 526.47 -26.50 -4.8% -3.71 -0.7%

 

Fiend's Prime-25

-----------------

Winners-Losers 15-10 16-9

Company Dec-29 Mn Chg Month Yr Chg Year %

--------------- ------- ------- ------ ------- ------

Home Depot 346.55 33.06 10.5% 30.69 9.7%

Bank of America 33.67 3.18 10.4% 0.55 1.7%

JP Morgan Chase 170.10 14.02 9.0% 36.00 26.8%

Abbvie 154.97 12.58 8.8% -6.64 -4.1%

Meta (FB) 353.96 26.81 8.2% 233.62 194.1%

Merck 109.02 6.54 6.4% -1.93 -1.7%

NVIDIA 495.22 27.52 5.9% 349.08 238.9%

Google 140.93 7.01 5.2% 54.05 62.2%

Amazon 151.94 5.85 4.0% 67.94 80.9%

Chevron 149.16 5.56 3.9% -30.33 -16.9%

Tesla 248.48 8.40 3.5% 125.30 101.7%

Mastercard 426.51 12.68 3.1% 78.78 22.7%

Visa Inc. 260.35 3.67 1.4% 52.59 25.3%

Apple Comp 192.53 2.58 1.4% 62.60 48.2%

Johnson-Johnson 156.74 2.08 1.3% -19.91 -11.3%

Walmart 157.65 1.96 1.3% 15.86 11.2%

Pepsico 169.84 1.55 0.9% -10.82 -6.0%

Coca-Cola 58.93 0.49 0.8% -4.68 -7.4%

Microsoft 376.04 -2.87 -0.8% 136.22 56.8%

Berkshire Hath 356.66 -3.34 -0.9% 47.76 15.5%

Eli Lilly 582.92 -8.12 -1.4% 217.08 59.3%

Exxon Mobil 99.98 -2.76 -2.7% -10.32 -9.4%

Procter-Gamble 146.54 -6.98 -4.5% -5.02 -3.3%

UnitedHealth 526.47 -26.50 -4.8% -3.71 -0.7%

Pfizer 28.79 -1.68 -5.5% -22.45 -43.8%

 

Prime-25 18911.31 435.50 2.4% 5553.48 41.6%

 

 

RNK Company (Bil) P/E Yield Symb Sector

--- ----------------- ------ ------- ----- ---- ---------------

1. Apple $3007 32.36 0.50% AAPL Technology

2. Microsoft $2794 36.40 0.78% MSFT Technology

3. Google $1748 27.00 0.00% GOOG Communication

4. Amazon $1556 79.14 0.00% AMZN Consumer

5. NVIDIA $1223 119.62 0.03% NVDA Technology

6. Meta (FB) $917 31.24 0.00% META Communication

7. Tesla $785 79.90 0.00% TSLA Consumer

8. Berkshire Hath $774 8.96 0.00% BRK-B Financial

9. Eli Lilly $554 82.22 0.78% LLY Healthcare

10. Visa Inc. $531 31.79 0.80% V Financial

11. JP Morgan Chase $494 10.15 2.41% JPM Financial

12. UnitedHealth $488 22.85 1.35% UNH Healthcare

13. Walmart $424 30.38 1.48% WMT Consumer

14. Mastercard $404 37.15 0.53% MA Financial

15. Exxon Mobil $396 9.94 3.70% XOM Energy

16. Johnson-Johnson $376 29.91 2.94% JNJ Healthcare

17. Home Depot $346 21.65 2.39% HD Consumer

18. Procter-Gamble $346 23.83 2.61% PG Consumer

19. Chevron $280 11.09 4.04% CVX Energy

20. Merck $277 60.57 2.51% MRK Healthcare

21. Abbvie $273 42.34 3.67% ABBV Healthcare

22. Bank of America $267 9.43 2.73% BAC Financial

23. Coca-Cola $255 23.76 3.07% KO Consumer

24. Pepsico $234 28.35 2.90% PEP Consumer

25. Pfizer $163 15.82 5.42% PFE Healthcare

_ Prime-25 $18,911 27.61 0.92%

 

Changes for 2023:

 

Exxon Mobil and Chevron return after a huge 2022 for energy stocks. Eli Lilly, Pfizer, AbbVie,

and Merck were added as healthcare stocks outperformed in 2022. Coke Cola also returned and PepsiCo

made the list for the first time at #25.

 

Nike, Verizon, Disney, Adobe, Comcast, Netflix, Intel, and Paypal were all removed for 2023.

 

Currencies

----------

Mar

Crrncy Dec-29 Mn Chg Mnth % Yr Chg Year % 2K Chg* 2000 %

------ ------- ------ ------ ------ ------ ------- ------

Pound 127.51 1.18 0.9% 6.24 5.1% -34.39 -21.2%

SwFrnc 119.80 4.22 3.7% 6.91 6.1% 56.33 88.8%

Euro 110.75 1.34 1.2% 1.33 1.2% 9.14 9.0%

Yen 71.76 3.12 4.5% -9.33 -11.5% -27.16 -27.5%

US Dlr 101.03 -2.02 -2.0% -1.38 -1.3% -0.39 -0.4%

Commodities

-----------

Feb

Cmmdty Dec-29 Mn Chg Mnth % Yr Chg Year % 2K Chng* 2000 %

------ --------- ------- ------ ------- ------ -------- ------

Gold $2,071.80 $14.60 0.7% $165.70 8.7%$1,782.20 615.4%

XAU 125.69 2.34 1.9% 4.83 4.0% 57.72 84.9%

Oil/Fb $71.65 -$4.40 -5.8% -$4.65 -6.1% $46.05 179.9%

XOI 1862.47 10.84 0.6% 75.22 4.2% 1359.47 270.3%

CRB 263.83 -8.17 -3.0% -13.92 -5.0% 58.69 28.6%

 

Foreign Markets

---------------

Exchng Dec-29 Mnth Chg Mnth % Year Chg Year % 2K Chng* 2000 %

------ --------- -------- ------ -------- ------ -------- ------

TSX 20958.44 722.15 3.6% 1573.52 8.1% 12544.69 149.1%

IPC 57386.25 3326.24 6.2% 8922.38 18.4% 50256.37 704.9%

BVSP 134185.20 6854.10 5.4% 24450.20 22.3%117093.20 685.1%

FTSE 7733.24 279.49 3.7% 281.50 3.8% 803.04 11.6%

CAC-40 7543.18 232.41 3.2% 1069.42 16.5% 1584.86 26.6%

DAX 16751.64 536.21 3.3% 2828.05 20.3% 9793.50 140.7%

Swiss 11137.79 283.47 2.6% 408.39 3.8% 3567.69 47.1%

Nikkei 33464.17 -22.72 -0.1% 7369.67 28.2% 14529.83 76.7%

HngSng 17047.39 4.51 0.0% -2734.02 -13.8% 85.29 0.5%

AllOrd 7829.50 531.80 7.3% 607.80 8.4% 4677.00 148.4%

 

* Change since 12/31/1999

                                                                              


 

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