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Daily Market Report Page (07/03)

Weekly Market Summary Page (06/29)

Year End 2010 Summary Page (12/31/10)
Year End 2009 Summary Page (12/31/09)
Year End 2008 Summary Page (12/31/08)
Crash of 2008 Weekly Summary Page (10/13/08)

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Current Links of Interest   

Curmudgeon: June Jobs Report Indicates Six-year Economic Expansion is an Illusion (07/03)
Curmudgeon: Rebuttal and Counterpoints – Who’s Protecting the American Worker? (06/29)
Victor Sperandeo/Curmudgeon: Trade Agreements NOT About Free Trade; TiSA Exposed (06/29)
Michael Snyder: The Liquidity Crisis Intensifies: ‘Prepare For a Bear Market in Bonds’ (06/25)
Curmudgeon/Victor Sperandeo: Iran and Greece as Geopolitical Wildcards; Victor Assesses the Markets (06/22)
Michael Snyder: The Economic Depression in Greece Deepens as Tsipras Prepares to Deliver ‘The Great No’ (06/19)
Tony Sagami: Margin Debt Bubble: A Day of Reckoning is Nigh (06/18)
Victor Sperandeo/Curmudgeon: Analysis of Secret Trade “Parnerships” (Psuedo Treaties) Which Bypass the Constitution (06/15)
Curmudgeon: Bubble Bubble on the Wall, Which is the Biggest Bubble of Them All? (06/14)
Curmudgeon: OECD Cuts Global Growth Forecasts for 2015 – Who or What is to Blame? (06/04)  
Octafinance: Margin Debt to GDP at NYSE More Than the Dot-Com Bubble High! (06/03)
Curmudgeon/Victor Sperandeo: Avago-Broadcom Deal Ignores Risks of Debt Propelled Acquisitions  (06/01)
Curmudgeon/Victor Sperandeo: Are GDP and Productivity Understated or Overstated? Why it Matters! (05/25)
Curmudgeon/Victor Sperandeo: Trans Pacific Partnership: A Deal Made in Secret by the Devil? (05/18)
Victor Sperandeo/Curmudgeon: Deflation Trade Over; Commodities, Stocks and the Fed Inextricably Intertwined (05/11)
Curmudgeon: Share Buybacks Fuel Stock Market, Increase Debt and Lower Capital Expenditures and Growth (05/11)
Curmudgeon: Sleepless Nights for Leveraged Buyout Firms and Private Equity Investors/Saudi Arabia Postscript (05/06)
Victor Sperandeo/Curmudgeon: Iran Deal Revisted by Saudi and Gulf States – Possible Oil Shock? (05/04)
Curmudgeon: Analysis of Weak GDP Report and Fed Talk the Talk (04/30)
Bill Bonner: Exactly When the Federal Reserve Will Launch QE4 (04/29)
Victor Sperandeo/Curmudgeon: Reflections on Our Short Term, Gambling Culture (04/27)
Pater Tenebrarum: Friday Never Happened – “Because of China”? (04/21)
Curmudgeon: IMF Warns of Market Blow Out With Liquidity Vanishing (04/20)
Victor Sperandeo/Curmudgeon: What Will Trigger the Next Collapse of Fixed Income and Stocks? (04/20)
Curmudgeon: In Search of Unicorns and One-Trick Ponies: Bubble In Private Tech Start-Ups (04/13)
Victor Sperandeo/Curmudgeon: Historical Bubble and Burst Pattern (04/13)
Victor Sperandeo/Curmudgeon: Analysis of a Disappointing Jobs Report; Where Do Jobs Come From? (04/06)
Michael Snyder: If Anyone Doubts That We Are In a Stock Market Bubble, Show Them This Article (04/03)
The Nation: Inside the ‘Mother Bubble’, Central Banks Are Still Pumping (04/03)
Curmudgeon/Victor Sperandeo: The Great Fed Robbery of “We the People” (03/30)
Alfonso Esparza: US Stock Market Drop Shows Fed Bubble Bursting (03/27)
Rob Williams: SocGen’s Edwards: Fed Rate Hike Will Be Too Late to Avert Disaster (03/24)
Victor Sperandeo/Curmudgeon: Double-Talk From the Fed and the Israel Elections (03/23)
John Riley: 30 Myths Investors Choose to Believe (03/18)
Victor Sperandeo/Curmudgeon: Trustworthy U.S. Government Needed For Real Economic Growth (03/16)
Alan Newman: Why the Stock Market Should Crash (03/12)
Charles Hugh Smith: Here’s How the Fed Blew It (03/11)
Curmudgeon/Victor Sperandeo: Iran Poses Huge Threat to World Stability and Markets/Revisting “Gold Has Bottomed” (03/09)
Victor Sperandeo/Curmudgeon: ISIS/IS and Islamic Fundamentalism Threaten Global Stability and the World Economy (03/02)

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Dow Jones Industrials (06/26)
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red line - 50 DMA; green line - 200 DMA; pink line - NYSE adv/dec

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green line - Dow 21 DMA; red line - 50 DMA
 

NASDAQ Composite (06/26)
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red line - 50 DMA; green line - 200 DMA

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green line - 21 DMA; red line - 50 DMA

       S&P 500 (06/26)
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red line - 50 DMA; green line - 200 DMA; pink line - NYSE VIX

Notable Quote(s):
 

The Fed with its Keynesian vision believes it can hold off a correction forever. In the history of the stock market, that’s never been done.


Confidence and complacency are more acute now than any time I’ve seen before. All expressions of overvaluation are at historical extremes. Despite this, most money managers remain in the market. The thesis is “if it’s going up, regardless of anything else, I want to be in it.” Perhaps the best indicator of complacency is the VIX which at its current level of 13 tells us that investors see no reason to protect their positions. Every minor decline is seen as a buying opportunity. The rationale is that the Fed would not allow anything worse than a 10% decline. If the stock market starts sinking between now and October 1st, I will be most interested to see if the Fed eliminates QE.


Richard Russell, 90 year-old publisher of the Dow Theory since 1958.



Archives

The Magic Wand of Liquidity Page (06/29/15)
Fiend's Bear Encounters (1939-42, 1973-74, 1981-82) Page
DJIA, adv/dec, and momentum data from 1990 to 06/15/15
Market Top of 1968 Revisited
Business Week's The Death of Equities Revisited
Tj's Financial Cartoon Gallery
Miki's Portraits of Some Bulls of the Millennium


This page was last updated on July 3, 2015.

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